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Guides and insights on prediction markets and finding the edge

September 18, 2026·Updated October 3, 2026·10 min read

Omnipred vs. MarketsPrediction for Polymarket and Kalshi Odds

OmniPred vs. MarketsPrediction for Polymarket and Kalshi odds: when to use fast arb alerts vs trade validation (matching, bid/ask, spreads, fees, freshness).

September 17, 2026·Updated October 2, 2026·10 min read

What Is the South Carolina Senate Primary?

What “South Carolina Senate primary” means in 2026: U.S. vs state Senate, June 9/23 primaries, Aug 11/25 GOP replacement, and who can vote.

September 16, 2026·Updated October 1, 2026·9 min read

Predicted Odds vs Implied Odds: Which Is Better for Trading?

Compare predicted odds to executable implied odds—de‑vig books, use bid/ask + fees, and compute the minimum edge required before you trade.

September 15, 2026·Updated October 6, 2026·9 min read

Primary in US Odds Tracking: Bid/Ask, Liquidity, Calendar

Track primary in US odds with tradable bid/ask snapshots, spread+size, venue access labels, and primary/runoff/certification dates plus resolution rules.

September 14, 2026·8 min read

Senate Primary Results Errors That Skew Forecasts: A Debug Checklist

Checklist to reconcile Senate primary results: identify the feed, decode reporting %, account for late ballots, and verify nomination/advancement rules.

September 13, 2026·9 min read

South Carolina Senate Primary Prediction Markets to Compare in 2026

How to compare 2026 South Carolina Senate primary markets—regular vs special track, settlement rules, and 4 verified listings on Kalshi, Polymarket, and...

September 12, 2026·9 min read

How to Track a Senate Primary Prediction Market: 6 Steps

A six-step guide to tracking a U.S. Senate primary prediction market without getting misled — nailing the exact race, finding the right contracts, decoding...

September 11, 2026·8 min read

11 Predicted Odds Modeling Approaches to Evaluate in 2026

Compare predicted odds in 2026: convert American odds to implied p, score with log loss/Brier, check calibration, and review 11 model families + checklist.

September 10, 2026·10 min read

World Championship 2026: Prediction Markets vs Sportsbooks—How to Choose

A go/no-go framework for World Championship 2026 exposure: identify the event, confirm access, compare spread+fees, and check grading vs resolution.

September 9, 2026·12 min read

What Is a US Primary and How Does It Work?

A practical guide to what a U.S. primary actually decides — the three possible outputs of a primary, partisan nomination primaries vs top-two/top-four...

September 8, 2026·9 min read

PData Review: Live Cross-Platform Prediction Market Data

This comparison settles whether pdata is enough as a free, cross-platform prediction-market data layer — what it covers and how you access it, freshness and...

September 7, 2026·11 min read

Oddpool Review: Features, Limits, and API Access

A comparison that settles whether Oddpool is a viable data layer for cross-venue monitoring and automation — what Oddpool actually is and the current...

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