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Who will win US President Elections 2028

35 outcomes
Total Volume
$316.69M
$8.26M / $308.42M
24h Volume
$4.02M
$65.4K / $3.95M
Liquidity
$341.28M
$320.80M / $20.49M
Turnover (24h)
0.10x
0.00x / 0.19x
Prediction Market Dominance Index
K+50K+40K+30K+20K+10EvenP+10P+20P+30P+40P+50
Kalshi

+26

Kalshi Lean
INDEX COMPONENTS
Kalshi
Polymarket
24h Volume (55%)
2%
98%
Liquidity (25%)
94%
6%
Turnover (20%)
0%
100%
Trends
Not enough data for 6h
Highlights
Both23
K only0
PM only12
Avg Spread1.1%
Most Active (24h)Tim Walz wins the 2028 US Presidential Election$930.5K
Deepest MarketVivek Ramaswamy wins the 2028 US Presidential Election$17.37M
Best Spread3.9¢
JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
Buy on PM @ 24.1¢ → Sell on K @ 28.0¢
Markets Agree (<2% spread)20/23
Top Spreads
JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K↑3.9%
Marco Rubio wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K↑3.0%
Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K↑2.6%
AI Market Analysis4d ago
Key InsightPlatform spread suggests Polymarket is discounting GOP frontrunners vs Kalshi; best relative value is likely on the cheaper side (PM for Vance/Rubio).
SummaryField is fragmented with JD Vance leading at 26.1% ahead of Newsom 17.7% and Rubio 9.5%.
Price MovementStable (no historical price points provided to flag moves).
Volume24h volume rose to $4.02M (+30% vs $3.09M 24h ago) on flat liquidity (~$341.3M).
PlatformsKalshi prices run higher on key leaders—Vance 28% vs 24.1% (3.9pp) and Rubio 11% vs 8% (3.0pp)—no >5pp arb spreads.
Outcome
K / PM / Spread
Spread
K Vol 24h
PM Vol 24h
Tim Walz wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0100$0.0085$0.0015
0.1%-$930.5K
LeBron James wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0085-
--$66.3K
Greg Abbott wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0100$0.0095$0.0005
0.1%$1.0K$70.2K
Tulsi Gabbard wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0100$0.0085$0.0015
0.1%$1.0K$575.0K
Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0100$0.0085$0.0015
0.1%$10.4K$279.8K
Kim Kardashian wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0085-
--$59.0K
Stephen A. Smith wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0100$0.0085$0.0015
0.1%$50$56.7K
Elon Musk wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0115-
--$10.0K
Nikki Haley wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%$1.5K$11.8K
Glenn Youngkin wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0200$0.0095$0.0105
1.1%$50$56.8K
Michelle Obama wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0095-
--$239.9K
Zohran Mamdani wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0085-
--$115.6K
JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.2800$0.2415$0.0385
3.9%$4.3K$57.8K
Donald Trump Jr. wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0200$0.0115$0.0085
0.9%-$54.7K
Gretchen Whitmer wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0200$0.0135$0.0065
0.7%$432$27.8K
Jamie Dimon wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0100$0.0115$0.0015
0.1%$467$95.7K
Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.1900$0.1635$0.0265
2.6%$6.6K$68.6K
Donald Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0400$0.0265$0.0135
1.4%$12.7K$33.4K
Kamala Harris wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0300$0.0335$0.0035
0.4%$50$29.8K
JB Pritzker wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0300$0.0150$0.0150
1.5%$3.4K$30.0K
Marco Rubio wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.1100$0.0795$0.0305
3.0%$5.8K$18.2K
Ron DeSantis wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0200$0.0135$0.0065
0.7%$4.9K$42.0K
Andy Beshear wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0300$0.0175$0.0125
1.2%$1.6K$9.0K
Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0400$0.0265$0.0135
1.4%$5.5K$13.6K
Tucker Carlson wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0115-
--$14.2K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0700$0.0575$0.0125
1.3%$1.4K$324.9K
Wes Moore wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0300$0.0125$0.0175
1.7%$500$20.1K
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0235-
--$23.5K
Pete Buttigieg wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0400$0.0205$0.0195
1.9%$3.8K$34.3K
Ivanka Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0125-
--$13.4K
Ro Khanna wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0095-
--$59.2K
Thomas Massie wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0125-
--$24.5K
Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
$0.0200$0.0205$0.0005
0.1%-$56.5K
Eric Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0085-
--$326.9K
James Talarico wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
-$0.0085-
--$103.7K
Sort by:
JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+3.9¢
K28¢
PM24¢
K 24h$4.3K
PM 24h$57.8K
Marco Rubio wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+3.0¢
K11¢
PM8¢
K 24h$5.8K
PM 24h$18.2K
Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+2.6¢
K19¢
PM16¢
K 24h$6.6K
PM 24h$68.6K
Pete Buttigieg wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+1.9¢
K4¢
PM2¢
K 24h$3.8K
PM 24h$34.3K
Wes Moore wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+1.7¢
K3¢
PM1¢
K 24h$500
PM 24h$20.1K
JB Pritzker wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+1.5¢
K3¢
PM2¢
K 24h$3.4K
PM 24h$30.0K
Donald Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+1.4¢
K4¢
PM3¢
K 24h$12.7K
PM 24h$33.4K
Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+1.4¢
K4¢
PM3¢
K 24h$5.5K
PM 24h$13.6K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+1.3¢
K7¢
PM6¢
K 24h$1.4K
PM 24h$324.9K
Andy Beshear wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+1.2¢
K3¢
PM2¢
K 24h$1.6K
PM 24h$9.0K
Glenn Youngkin wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+1.1¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$50
PM 24h$56.8K
Donald Trump Jr. wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.9¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$54.7K
Gretchen Whitmer wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.7¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$432
PM 24h$27.8K
Ron DeSantis wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.7¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$4.9K
PM 24h$42.0K
Kamala Harris wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.4¢
K3¢
PM3¢
K 24h$50
PM 24h$29.8K
Tim Walz wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$930.5K
Tulsi Gabbard wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$1.0K
PM 24h$575.0K
Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$10.4K
PM 24h$279.8K
Stephen A. Smith wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$50
PM 24h$56.7K
Jamie Dimon wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$467
PM 24h$95.7K
Greg Abbott wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$1.0K
PM 24h$70.2K
Nikki Haley wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$1.5K
PM 24h$11.8K
Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 US Presidential Election+0.1¢
K2¢
PM2¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$56.5K
LeBron James wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$66.3K
Kim Kardashian wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$59.0K
Elon Musk wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$10.0K
Michelle Obama wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$239.9K
Zohran Mamdani wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$115.6K
Tucker Carlson wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$14.2K
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM2¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$23.5K
Ivanka Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$13.4K
Ro Khanna wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$59.2K
Thomas Massie wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$24.5K
Eric Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$326.9K
James Talarico wins the 2028 US Presidential Election
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$103.7K