Resources

Everything you need to start — what prediction markets are, how to trade them, how to read the odds, and how to find the best price across platforms.

Basics·6 min read

What Are Prediction Markets?

A plain-English introduction to prediction markets: what they are, how contract prices turn into probabilities, and why crowd-sourced odds are often more accurate than polls.

Trading·8 min read

How to Trade Prediction Markets: A Step-by-Step Guide

A beginner-friendly walkthrough of placing your first prediction-market trade — choosing a market, reading the price, buying Yes or No, and managing or closing your position.

Trading·7 min read

How to Read and Compare Prediction Market Odds

Learn to read prediction-market prices as probabilities, convert between cents and percentages, and compare the same event across Polymarket and Kalshi to find the best price.

Strategy·9 min read

Prediction Market Strategies for Beginners

Core strategies for trading prediction markets: finding an edge, value betting, cross-platform arbitrage, disciplined bankroll sizing, and the common mistakes that cost beginners money.

Platforms·7 min read

Prediction Market Platforms: Polymarket vs Kalshi

How the major prediction-market platforms compare — Polymarket and Kalshi — on regulation, funding, fees, and event catalogs, and why comparing prices across them matters.