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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

41 outcomes
Total Volume
$556.74M
$13.10M / $543.64M
24h Volume
$5.33M
$39.3K / $5.29M
Liquidity
$110.44M
$79.73M / $30.71M
Turnover (24h)
0.09x
0.00x / 0.17x
Prediction Market Dominance Index
K+50K+40K+30K+20K+10EvenP+10P+20P+30P+40P+50
Kalshi

+31

Kalshi Heavy
INDEX COMPONENTS
Kalshi
Polymarket
24h Volume (55%)
1%
99%
Liquidity (25%)
72%
28%
Turnover (20%)
0%
100%
Trends
Not enough data for 6h
Highlights
Both31
K only2
PM only8
Avg Spread1.1%
Most Active (24h)Byron Donalds wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination$924.4K
Deepest MarketJ.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination$5.69M
Best Spread10.2¢
J.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
Buy on PM @ 36.8¢ → Sell on K @ 47.0¢
Markets Agree (<2% spread)26/31
Top Spreads
J.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K↑10.2%
Marco Rubio wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
PM↑3.0%
Donald Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K↑2.3%
AI Market Analysis6d ago
Key InsightIf you trust Polymarket more, short Vance on Kalshi/buy on Poly; otherwise Kalshi is pricing a meaningfully higher Vance likelihood.
SummaryMarket heavily concentrated in J.D. Vance (~42%) with Rubio a distant #2 (~20%) and a long tail of sub-5% names.
Price MovementStable (no 24h/1w history provided to identify moves).
VolumePolymarket dominates activity (largest 24h: Byron Donalds ~$924k; Tucker ~$350k; Kardashian ~$264k) while Kalshi prints are tiny.
PlatformsBig dislocation in Vance: Kalshi 47% vs Polymarket 36.8% (10.2pp spread, clear arb); Rubio also notable at 18% vs 21.1% (3.0pp).
Outcome
K / PM / Spread
Spread
K Vol 24h
PM Vol 24h
Byron Donalds wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0070$0.0030
0.3%-$924.4K
Byron Donalds wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0070$0.0030
0.3%-$924.4K
Mike Pence wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0055$0.0045
0.5%$8$129.9K
John Thune wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0065$0.0035
0.4%-$107.7K
Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0075$0.0025
0.3%$8$57.8K
Kristi Noem wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0075$0.0025
0.3%-$29.3K
Tom Brady wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0065-
--$73.4K
Katie Britt wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0075$0.0025
0.3%-$59.0K
Katie Britt wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0075$0.0025
0.3%-$59.0K
Kim Kardashian wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0055-
--$263.5K
Elon Musk wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%-$9.5K
Elise Stefanik wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0065$0.0035
0.4%-$226.0K
Greg Abbott wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0095$0.0105
1.1%-$24.1K
Rand Paul wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0125-
--$73.6K
Josh Hawley wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0075$0.0025
0.3%$5.5K$30.0K
Matt Gaetz wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0085$0.0015
0.1%-$16.1K
Steve Bannon wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0065$0.0135
1.4%$52$131.6K
Ted Cruz wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0105$0.0095
0.9%$4$53.0K
Brian Kemp wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0085$0.0115
1.1%-$223.9K
Vivek Ramaswamy wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0125$0.0025
0.3%$23$30.0K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0085$0.0015
0.1%-$26.9K
Erika Kirk wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0055$0.0045
0.5%$2.5K$214.1K
Tulsi Gabbard wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0085$0.0115
1.1%$233$96.1K
Ron DeSantis wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0400$0.0275$0.0125
1.3%$1.1K$64.1K
Marco Rubio wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.1800$0.2105$0.0305
3.0%$6.7K$71.8K
J.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.4700$0.3675$0.1025
10.2%$3.6K$96.0K
Tucker Carlson wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0300$0.0510$0.0210
2.1%$430$349.2K
Donald Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0400$0.0175$0.0225
2.3%$8.2K$32.1K
Nikki Haley wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0095$0.0105
1.1%$187$81.3K
Donald Trump Jr. wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0145$0.0055
0.5%$725$79.2K
Glenn Youngkin wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0300$0.0145$0.0155
1.5%-$92.8K
Ivanka Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0125-
--$9.2K
Ivanka Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0125-
--$9.2K
Marjorie Taylor Greene wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0300$0.0095$0.0205
2.0%$135$177.9K
Eric Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0075-
--$15.0K
Thomas Massie wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0155$0.0045
0.5%$372$146.3K
Thomas Massie wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0155$0.0045
0.5%$372$146.3K
Joe Kent wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0065-
--$69.5K
Pete Hegseth wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0065-
--$67.2K
Tom Cotton wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100--
-$9.2K-
Nicki Minaj wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100--
---
Sort by:
J.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+10.2¢
K47¢
PM37¢
K 24h$3.6K
PM 24h$96.0K
Marco Rubio wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+3.0¢
K18¢
PM21¢
K 24h$6.7K
PM 24h$71.8K
Donald Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+2.3¢
K4¢
PM2¢
K 24h$8.2K
PM 24h$32.1K
Tucker Carlson wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+2.1¢
K3¢
PM5¢
K 24h$430
PM 24h$349.2K
Marjorie Taylor Greene wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+2.0¢
K3¢
PM1¢
K 24h$135
PM 24h$177.9K
Glenn Youngkin wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.5¢
K3¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$92.8K
Steve Bannon wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.4¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$52
PM 24h$131.6K
Ron DeSantis wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.3¢
K4¢
PM3¢
K 24h$1.1K
PM 24h$64.1K
Brian Kemp wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.1¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$223.9K
Tulsi Gabbard wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.1¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$233
PM 24h$96.1K
Greg Abbott wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.1¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$24.1K
Nikki Haley wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.1¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$187
PM 24h$81.3K
Ted Cruz wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.9¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$4
PM 24h$53.0K
Donald Trump Jr. wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.5¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$725
PM 24h$79.2K
Mike Pence wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.5¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$8
PM 24h$129.9K
Erika Kirk wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.5¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$2.5K
PM 24h$214.1K
Thomas Massie wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.5¢
K2¢
PM2¢
K 24h$372
PM 24h$146.3K
Thomas Massie wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.5¢
K2¢
PM2¢
K 24h$372
PM 24h$146.3K
John Thune wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.4¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$107.7K
Elise Stefanik wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.4¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$226.0K
Byron Donalds wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$924.4K
Byron Donalds wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$924.4K
Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$8
PM 24h$57.8K
Kristi Noem wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$29.3K
Katie Britt wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$59.0K
Katie Britt wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$59.0K
Josh Hawley wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$5.5K
PM 24h$30.0K
Vivek Ramaswamy wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$23
PM 24h$30.0K
Matt Gaetz wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$16.1K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$26.9K
Elon Musk wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$9.5K
Tom Brady wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$73.4K
Kim Kardashian wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$263.5K
Rand Paul wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$73.6K
Ivanka Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$9.2K
Ivanka Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$9.2K
Eric Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$15.0K
Joe Kent wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$69.5K
Pete Hegseth wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$67.2K
Tom Cotton wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K1¢
PM-
K 24h$9.2K
PM 24h-
Nicki Minaj wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K1¢
PM-
K 24h-
PM 24h-