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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

36 outcomes
Total Volume
$343.73M
$12.20M / $331.53M
24h Volume
$3.29M
$39.0K / $3.25M
Liquidity
$90.19M
$73.76M / $16.43M
Turnover (24h)
0.10x
0.00x / 0.20x
Prediction Market Dominance Index
K+50K+40K+30K+20K+10EvenP+10P+20P+30P+40P+50
Kalshi

+29

Kalshi Lean
INDEX COMPONENTS
Kalshi
Polymarket
24h Volume (55%)
1%
99%
Liquidity (25%)
82%
18%
Turnover (20%)
0%
100%
Trends
Not enough data for 6h
Highlights
Both28
K only2
PM only6
Avg Spread0.8%
Most Active (24h)Kim Kardashian wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination$687.2K
Deepest MarketJ.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination$5.48M
Best Spread4.2¢
Marco Rubio wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
Buy on PM @ 13.8¢ → Sell on K @ 18.0¢
Markets Agree (<2% spread)25/28
Top Spreads
Marco Rubio wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K↑4.2%
J.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K↑2.7%
Ron DeSantis wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K↑2.0%
AI Market Analysis3d ago
Key InsightOnly actionable edge shown is the Rubio cross-platform mispricing (Kalshi richer by 4.2pp) while Vance remains the clear base case.
SummaryField is highly fragmented but J.D. Vance leads at 45.6% avg with Rubio a distant #2 at 15.9%.
Price MovementNo historical price data provided, so no move/ momentum call.
Volume24h volume fell to $3.29M (vs $3.81M 24h ago) and liquidity dipped to $90.2M, suggesting cooling activity.
PlatformsNotable spread: Rubio 18% (Kalshi) vs 13.8% (Polymarket) = 4.2pp (arb watch); others mostly <3pp.
Outcome
K / PM / Spread
Spread
K Vol 24h
PM Vol 24h
Mike Pence wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%$8$159.8K
John Thune wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%-$151.2K
Katie Britt wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%-$11.9K
Kristi Noem wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%-$103.3K
Tom Brady wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0130-
--$42.6K
Tom Brady wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0130-
--$42.6K
Elon Musk wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0135$0.0035
0.3%-$23.1K
Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%$8$212.7K
Kim Kardashian wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0095-
--$687.2K
Elise Stefanik wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%-$26.1K
Byron Donalds wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0105$0.0005
0.1%-$20.8K
Matt Gaetz wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0125$0.0025
0.3%-$34.3K
Greg Abbott wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0105$0.0095
0.9%-$20.8K
Josh Hawley wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0135$0.0035
0.3%$5.5K$28.6K
Rand Paul wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0145-
--$117.7K
Vivek Ramaswamy wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0145$0.0045
0.5%$23$111.7K
Steve Bannon wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0095$0.0105
1.1%$52$92.9K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0125$0.0025
0.3%-$24.7K
Tulsi Gabbard wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0145$0.0055
0.5%$233$116.5K
Ted Cruz wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0195$0.0005
0.1%$4$179.8K
Brian Kemp wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0115$0.0085
0.9%-$23.5K
Marco Rubio wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.1800$0.1380$0.0420
4.2%$6.7K$26.0K
J.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.4700$0.4425$0.0275
2.7%$3.6K$29.5K
Erika Kirk wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100$0.0125$0.0025
0.3%$2.5K$446.8K
Donald Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0400$0.0325$0.0075
0.8%$8.2K$52.0K
Nikki Haley wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0135$0.0065
0.7%$187$51.7K
Ron DeSantis wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0400$0.0200$0.0200
2.0%$1.1K$32.0K
Glenn Youngkin wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0300$0.0185$0.0115
1.1%-$98.7K
Ivanka Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0115-
--$21.9K
Donald Trump Jr. wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0225$0.0025
0.2%$725$48.6K
Marjorie Taylor Greene wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0300$0.0130$0.0170
1.7%$135$48.2K
Tucker Carlson wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0300$0.0165$0.0135
1.3%$430$71.9K
Thomas Massie wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0200$0.0125$0.0075
0.8%$372$43.0K
Tom Cotton wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100--
-$9.2K-
Eric Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
-$0.0085-
--$47.7K
Nicki Minaj wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
$0.0100--
---
Sort by:
Marco Rubio wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+4.2¢
K18¢
PM14¢
K 24h$6.7K
PM 24h$26.0K
J.D. Vance wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+2.7¢
K47¢
PM44¢
K 24h$3.6K
PM 24h$29.5K
Ron DeSantis wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+2.0¢
K4¢
PM2¢
K 24h$1.1K
PM 24h$32.0K
Marjorie Taylor Greene wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.7¢
K3¢
PM1¢
K 24h$135
PM 24h$48.2K
Tucker Carlson wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.3¢
K3¢
PM2¢
K 24h$430
PM 24h$71.9K
Glenn Youngkin wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.1¢
K3¢
PM2¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$98.7K
Steve Bannon wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+1.1¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$52
PM 24h$92.9K
Greg Abbott wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.9¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$20.8K
Brian Kemp wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.9¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$23.5K
Donald Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.8¢
K4¢
PM3¢
K 24h$8.2K
PM 24h$52.0K
Thomas Massie wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.8¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$372
PM 24h$43.0K
Nikki Haley wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.7¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$187
PM 24h$51.7K
Tulsi Gabbard wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.5¢
K2¢
PM1¢
K 24h$233
PM 24h$116.5K
Vivek Ramaswamy wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.5¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$23
PM 24h$111.7K
Elon Musk wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$23.1K
Josh Hawley wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$5.5K
PM 24h$28.6K
Matt Gaetz wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$34.3K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$24.7K
Erika Kirk wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.3¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$2.5K
PM 24h$446.8K
Donald Trump Jr. wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.2¢
K2¢
PM2¢
K 24h$725
PM 24h$48.6K
Mike Pence wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$8
PM 24h$159.8K
John Thune wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$151.2K
Katie Britt wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$11.9K
Kristi Noem wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$103.3K
Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$8
PM 24h$212.7K
Elise Stefanik wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$26.1K
Byron Donalds wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$20.8K
Ted Cruz wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination+0.1¢
K2¢
PM2¢
K 24h$4
PM 24h$179.8K
Tom Brady wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$42.6K
Tom Brady wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$42.6K
Kim Kardashian wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$687.2K
Rand Paul wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$117.7K
Ivanka Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$21.9K
Tom Cotton wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K1¢
PM-
K 24h$9.2K
PM 24h-
Eric Trump wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K-
PM1¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$47.7K
Nicki Minaj wins 2028 Republican presidential nomination
K1¢
PM-
K 24h-
PM 24h-