Elections
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Plus500
Kalshi
Polymarket
Foregate
J.D. Vance78%Ted Cruz72%Marco Rubio63%Ron DeSantis63%
$53.5M Vol.Jul 18, 2026
Plus500
Kalshi
Polymarket
Foregate
Best Spread: Polymarket 24¢
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$53,505,537 Vol.Jul 18, 2026
J.D. Vance$25,294 Vol.
78%
Ted Cruz$19,956 Vol.
72%
Marco Rubio$33,543 Vol.
63%
Ron DeSantis$32,672 Vol.
63%
Josh Hawley$6,759 Vol.
47%
Thomas Massie$12,284 Vol.
45%
Rand Paul$9,981 Vol.
44%
J.D. Vance$3,644,051 Vol.
40%
Brian Kemp$688 Vol.
37%
Marjorie Taylor Greene$36,161 Vol.
33%
John McEntee$10,751 Vol.
33%
Marco Rubio$4,696,003 Vol.
29%
Marco Rubio$272,369 Vol.
28%
Glenn Youngkin$8,937 Vol.
25%
Vivek Ramaswamy$11,246 Vol.
24%
Steve Bannon$7,511 Vol.
24%
Tucker Carlson$51,309 Vol.
24%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$9,216 Vol.
24%
Tulsi Gabbard$6,612 Vol.
22%
Matt Gaetz$1,411 Vol.
21%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders$4,422 Vol.
21%
Donald J. Trump Jr.$33,293 Vol.
21%
Spencer Pratt$437 Vol.
19%
Greg Abbott$6,647 Vol.
17%
Nikki Haley$8,429 Vol.
17%
Gregory Bovino$3,969 Vol.
17%
Byron Donalds$346 Vol.
16%
Jared Kushner$951 Vol.
15%
Pete Hegseth$6,588 Vol.
14%
Jeff Bezos$3,508 Vol.
14%
Erika Kirk$5,156 Vol.
13%
Katie Britt$165 Vol.
13%
Elise Stefanik$797 Vol.
11%
John Thune$460 Vol.
10%
Donald J. Trump$13,320 Vol.
10%
Ron DeSantis$2,653,097 Vol.
6%
J.D. Vance$177,994 Vol.
6%
Elon Musk$3,297 Vol.
6%
Donald J. Trump Jr.$60,911 Vol.
5%
Donald J. Trump Jr.$2,300,447 Vol.
4%
Elise Stefanik$42,713 Vol.
4%
Donald J. Trump$105,940 Vol.
4%
Glenn Youngkin$47,710 Vol.
4%
Donald J. Trump$3,284,264 Vol.
3%
Erika Kirk$133,155 Vol.
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders$56,611 Vol.
3%
Tulsi Gabbard$40,201 Vol.
3%
Katie Britt$25,240 Vol.
3%
Byron Donalds$27,811 Vol.
3%
Ron DeSantis$38,503 Vol.
3%
Tucker Carlson$3,403,211 Vol.
2%
Thomas Massie$2,822,496 Vol.
2%
Ted Cruz$9,939 Vol.
2%
Brian Kemp$17,149 Vol.
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$14,519 Vol.
2%
Josh Hawley$44,219 Vol.
2%
Nikki Haley$43,348 Vol.
2%
Erika Kirk$771,404 Vol.
1%
Ted Cruz$1,276,069 Vol.
1%
Brian Kemp$1,201,099 Vol.
1%
Tulsi Gabbard$1,448,244 Vol.
1%
Glenn Youngkin$941,137 Vol.
1%
Nikki Haley$1,847,494 Vol.
1%
Josh Hawley$1,293,849 Vol.
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders$990,758 Vol.
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene$2,689,124 Vol.
1%
Mike Pence$949,752 Vol.
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy$1,242,161 Vol.
1%
Rand Paul$1,095,449 Vol.
1%
Ivanka Trump$1,846,894 Vol.
1%
Lara Trump$14,666 Vol.
1%
Spencer Pratt$26,617 Vol.
1%
Jeff Bezos$91,173 Vol.
1%
Candace Owens$57,259 Vol.
1%
John Thune$3,460 Vol.
1%
Matt Gaetz$8,138 Vol.
1%
Greg Abbott$7,414 Vol.
1%
Elon Musk$38,187 Vol.
1%
John Thune$392,620 Vol.
<1%
Matt Gaetz$827,927 Vol.
<1%
Elise Stefanik$694,473 Vol.
<1%
Nicki Minaj$983,562 Vol.
<1%
Byron Donalds$828,577 Vol.
<1%
Steve Bannon$792,993 Vol.
<1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$1,193,713 Vol.
<1%
Kristi Noem$598,132 Vol.
<1%
Katie Britt$668,941 Vol.
<1%
Elon Musk$948,792 Vol.
<1%
Greg Abbott$1,034,403 Vol.
<1%
Tom Cotton$524,726 Vol.
<1%
Eric Trump$1,087,281 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth$751,032 Vol.
<1%

Whoever secures the 2028 Republican nomination will be the party's standard-bearer in the presidential election and shape the GOP's policy agenda entering 2029.

The nominee changes electoral coalitions, fundraising flows, Supreme Court and judicial messaging, and whether the party embraces Trump-style populism or a different conservative coalition.

Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, and Vivek Ramaswamy are among the highest-profile names whose campaigns could determine the outcome.

Also in play are governors Greg Abbott, Glenn Youngkin and Brian Kemp; senators Rubio, Hawley, Cruz and Paul; media figures and celebrities including Tucker Carlson, Kim Kardashian, Elon Musk, and several Trump family members.

Primary calendar, delegate allocation rules, and early-state polling determine which campaigns can build practical delegate leads.

Fundraising, major endorsements, debate performances, candidate legal developments, media exposure, and any RNC decisions on debate formats or ballot access will move probabilities quickly.

Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina polls and the mechanics of their early contests in late 2027 and early 2028 will show who can build momentum.

Watch FEC fundraising filings, scheduled debates, major endorsements, state primary filing deadlines, RNC rule announcements, and any high-profile legal or breaking-news events involving top contenders.

Global Market Stats
Total Volume
$675.9M
24H Volume
$315.4K
Liquidity
$51.3M
Turnover (24H)
$0.01x
Latest NewsView all
The 6 Republicans most likely to win the 2028 presidential ...JD Vance continues to lead the early 2028 Republican field, while Marco Rubio is gaining traction and the broader GOP field remains unsettled.
Checking in on Presidential Election Odds for 2028Prediction-market coverage shows JD Vance and Marco Rubio as the main 2028 Republican contenders, with Vance holding a slight edge in some recent updates. The broader field is still open enough for market swings to matter.
Game-changing events could reset the 2028 Republican ‘The Apprentice’ nominationEarly 2028 GOP speculation is narrowing around JD Vance and Marco Rubio, with Trump’s hints and early polling driving the conversation.
Trump Has Reportedly Settled on His 2028 SuccessorTrump appears to be backing JD Vance as the likely heir, while Marco Rubio is gaining ground in early polling and betting markets.