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Will 2026 midterm elections bring another NJ blue wave?
Early voting
By October 30, New Jersey had recorded nearly 855,000 votes. Democrats accounted for about 60% of ballots attributed to registered party members, compared with roughly 23% for Republicans.[2]
Turnout signal
The pattern suggests a significant Democratic enthusiasm advantage, though early-vote party registration does not necessarily predict the final electorate or the eventual result.[2]
Historical comparison
New Jersey’s 2018 midterm experience provides a comparison: turnout approached 56%, among the state’s highest midterm levels in decades, during a period widely described as a blue wave.[2]
Broader meaning
A strong Democratic performance in New Jersey would reinforce national evidence of an anti-incumbent or anti-Trump environment, but it would not by itself establish the size of a nationwide wave.[2]