Elections
Maine Senate winner? (Person)
Plus500
Kalshi
Polymarket
Foregate
Troy Jackson57%Susan Collins42%Graham Platner<1%Janet Mills<1%
$2.9M Vol.Oct 16, 2026
Plus500
Kalshi
Polymarket
Foregate
$2,936,388 Vol.Oct 16, 2026
Troy Jackson$741,757 Vol.
58%
Susan Collins$979,645 Vol.
43%
Graham Platner$363,765 Vol.
<1%
Janet Mills$104,208 Vol.
<1%
Nirav Shah$183,145 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Dempsey$65,097 Vol.
<1%
Valli Geiger$65,982 Vol.
<1%
Brian Bryant$26,368 Vol.
<1%
Shenna Bellows$121,716 Vol.
<1%
Dan Kleban$109,284 Vol.
<1%
Mattie Daughtrey$28,746 Vol.
<1%
Sara Gideon$38,057 Vol.
<1%
Stephen King$8,098 Vol.
<1%
Angus King III$20,023 Vol.
<1%
Jared Golden$80,496 Vol.
<1%

Control of a U.S. Senate seat from Maine and its impact on the Senate party balance.

Whoever wins will represent Maine in Washington, influence committee makeup, federal funding priorities, and statewide political momentum for 2026 and beyond.

Susan Collins, Angus King III, and Jared Golden are the most recognizable statewide officeholders in the field.

Multiple challengers include state legislators, local officials, and high-profile outsiders such as Patrick Dempsey and Nirav Shah. Primary and general voters decide among them.

Fundraising pace, late-breaking polls, and endorsements from Maine's political leaders shift expectations rapidly.

Campaign messaging on the economy, healthcare, and coastal/energy issues will move independent voters and shape ranked-choice transfer patterns in the general election.

Upcoming candidate filing deadlines, primary dates, and major fundraising reports will reveal which campaigns have staying power.

Watch televised debates, endorsement announcements from Maine unions and newspapers, and any polling that shows second-choice preferences for ranked-choice counting scenarios.

Latest NewsView all
Maine Senate polling as Susan Collins, Troy Jackson head to third debateSusan Collins and Troy Jackson remain locked in a highly competitive Maine Senate race. A third debate focused on artificial intelligence, data centers, donor influence and the incumbent’s political record.
Maine Senate Winner 2026 OddsAnother market-tracking report shows Jackson ahead of Collins in current implied odds but emphasizes that the underlying surveys show a single-digit, potentially unstable contest.
New polling shows Troy Jackson narrowly leading Susan CollinsA newly cited Marist poll gives Jackson a four-point lead over Collins, but the race remains within the poll’s margin of error.
New Polling: Jackson Narrowly Leads Collins, Mainers Split on Senate RaceA new Marist poll shows Democratic nominee Troy Jackson narrowly leading Republican Sen. Susan Collins, 51% to 47%, in Maine’s closely watched 2026 Senate race. The contest remains within the poll’s margin of error.