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Strait of Hormuz traffic and reopening developments
Reported reopening plan
The reported agreement includes a commitment for maritime traffic to move back toward prewar levels within 30 days. If implemented and sustained, that timetable could support a recovery before the end of the year.
New operating rules
Iran has also indicated that the strait may not simply return to its previous status, instead remaining subject to regulation by Iran and Oman. That distinction could affect vessel routing, permissions and operator confidence.
Confidence takes time
Shipping volumes are likely to recover more slowly than a formal political announcement. Carriers and insurers may wait for evidence that attacks have stopped, mines are cleared and the new arrangements are functioning consistently.
December remains uncertain
The 30-day commitment offers a possible pathway to December improvement, but it does not prove that normal traffic will be restored in that month. A sustained return to prewar conditions remains dependent on implementation and security.