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Potential 2028 frontrunners rise to top of new primary poll
Polling leaders
A Harvard/HarrisX poll conducted October 24–26 showed Harris receiving 34% support among Democrats, ahead of Newsom at 20%. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg followed in the low double digits.[1]
Republican edge
Vance led the Republican field with 40%, while Rubio and Donald Trump Jr. were tied at 21%. The spread suggests Vance currently has the strongest early position among potential Republican candidates.[1]
Market signals
Prediction-market figures also identify Vance as the leading individual prospect for the presidency, while Democratic support is more divided among Ocasio-Cortez, Newsom, Harris and Senator Jon Ossoff.[2]
What comes next
The 2026 midterms and future developments in the Trump administration will likely reshape the contest. With nearly two years before voting begins and no declared nominees, naming a definite winner is not justified.