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What would count as U.S. confirmation before 2027?
Contract rules
How the contract works The market’s “Yes” outcome requires a definitive statement that extraterrestrial life or technology exists from the president, a Cabinet member, a Joint Chiefs member, or a federal agency. This is stricter than merely releasing unexplained UAP evidence.
Latest status
Latest reported outcome At the time of the report, no qualifying confirmation had occurred. The available evidence was described as inconclusive, with additional records and official reviews still pending.
Why it matters
Why the distinction matters Government transparency can increase access to information without resolving what caused a particular sighting. As a result, more disclosures may affect public debate while leaving the formal confirmation question unchanged.
Deadline ahead
Deadline ahead The relevant deadline is the end of December 2026. A qualifying statement, rather than an isolated sighting or a general pledge to investigate UAP, would be required to change the outcome.