Audacy·October 21, 2026
New 2028 presidential poll reveals two frontrunners
Current frontrunners
The early leaders
Party races
Vance leads potential Republican contenders, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio next. Harris leads the Democratic list, ahead of California Governor Gavin Newsom and other possible candidates.[3][4]
Market signals
Prediction markets currently rate Vance as the most likely overall winner, although Democratic market leaders differ, with Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Jon Ossoff appearing prominently depending on the platform.[3][4]
What comes next
The race remains highly unsettled. The 2026 midterms, presidential performance, economic conditions, candidate decisions, and the eventual primary campaigns could substantially reorder the field before 2028.[1][2]