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New 2028 presidential poll reveals two frontrunners
Early frontrunners
What happened
Poll results
The poll gives Harris roughly 30–32% among potential Democratic nominees and Vance 38% among Republicans. Gavin Newsom follows Harris on the Democratic side, while Marco Rubio is Vance’s closest Republican rival.[2][3]
A fluid race
Why it matters
What comes next
The figures describe party preferences rather than a general-election contest. Large shares of voters remain uncertain, and the election is still more than two years away, leaving substantial room for candidates, events and voter sentiment to reshape the field.
Limits of forecasts
Potential candidates are likely to use the 2026 midterm elections and the subsequent congressional cycle to build national profiles. Until candidates formally enter and general-election polling becomes available, claims about who will win remain highly speculative.