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Bombshell new poll shows huge swing in California governor's race
Primary outcome
The primary produced a crowded field, but Becerra and Hilton separated from the pack as ballots were counted. Early returns and subsequent updates consistently showed them occupying the top two spots, with Tom Steyer trailing behind.
That outcome means California will decide its next governor in a November general election rather than ending the race in the primary. The state’s top-two system pushed the two leading vote-getters forward regardless of party.
Polling shift
A new PPIC poll reported by the New York Post indicated Becerra had opened a sizable lead over Hilton among likely voters. That shift matters because California’s governor’s race is usually decided by turnout, persuasion among independents, and how effectively each campaign frames the state’s economic and public-safety problems.
The poll suggests Becerra has converted a narrow primary edge into a stronger general-election position, while Hilton faces the challenge of expanding beyond the coalition that carried him into the runoff.
What comes next
The next phase of the race will likely focus on fundraising, advertising, and statewide campaign travel. The primary already attracted heavy spending, and the general election is likely to intensify attention on housing costs, homelessness, taxes, and the broader relationship between California and national Republicans.
With Newsom term-limited, the race is also an early test of whether Democrats can hold the governorship in a state that leans blue but still rewards candidates who can appeal across party lines.
