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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

15 outcomes

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?<1%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?49%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?3.8%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?<1%

$6.5M Vol.

May 1, 2026

Polymarket

Kalshi

Promo Code:

$6,472,599 Vol.

May 1, 2026

3.75%$522,610 Vol.

49%

Buy Yes49¢Buy No51¢

3.5%$189,088 Vol.

17%

Buy Yes17¢Buy No83¢

3.25%$52,491 Vol.

14%

Buy Yes14¢Buy No87¢

4.0%$1,351,484 Vol.

5%

Buy Yes5¢Buy No95¢

3.0%$452,688 Vol.

5%

Buy Yes5¢Buy No95¢

4.25%$410,347 Vol.

4%

Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢

2.75%$37,434 Vol.

4%

Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢

2.5%$157,217 Vol.

2%

Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢

≥ 4.5%$2,391,842 Vol.

2%

Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢

1.25$131,306 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.8¢Buy No99¢

2.0%$239,492 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.8¢Buy No99¢

1.5%$128,093 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.7¢Buy No99¢

2.25%$68,873 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.6¢Buy No99¢

≤1.0%$212,692 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.6¢Buy No99¢

1.75%$126,943 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.4¢Buy No100¢