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How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

6 outcomes

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?54%Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?<1%Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?<1%Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?5.0%

$1.1M Vol.

May 1, 2026

Polymarket

Kalshi

Promo Code:

$1,065,783 Vol.

May 1, 2026

0$476,515 Vol.

54%

Buy Yes54¢Buy No47¢

1$260,389 Vol.

42%

Buy Yes42¢Buy No59¢

2$32,740 Vol.

5%

Buy Yes5¢Buy No95¢

3$24,369 Vol.

1%

Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢

4$21,497 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.7¢Buy No99¢

5+$250,273 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.5¢Buy No99¢

Global Market Stats

Total Volume

$1.1M

24H Volume

$843

Liquidity

$41.2K

Turnover (24H)

$0.01x