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Home›Geopolitics›Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Geopolitics
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?
Plus500
Kalshi
Polymarket
Foregate
Rafael Grossi30%Michelle Bachelet8.0%Rebeca Grynspan43%Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés4.0%
$80.6K Vol.Aug 23, 2026
Plus500
Kalshi
Polymarket
Foregate
Best Spread: Polymarket 14¢
$80,585 Vol.Aug 24, 2026
Rafael Grossi$28,838 Vol.
21%
Buy Yes21¢Buy No79¢
Michelle Bachelet$10,307 Vol.
8%
Buy Yes8¢Buy No92¢
Rebeca Grynspan$22,528 Vol.
7%
Buy Yes7¢Buy No93¢
Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés$11,409 Vol.
4%
Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢
Alicia Bárcena$957 Vol.
4%
Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢
Amina J. Mohammed$4,223 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢
Mia Mottley$1,959 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢
Gianni Infantino$364 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢

The next UN Secretary‑General will set the UN's priorities and diplomatic tone for the next five‑year term.

Decisions on peacekeeping mandates, climate and development agendas, and relations with major powers affect billions and shape how member states cooperate or clash.

David Choquehuanca, Rebeca Grynspan, Bruno Donat, and Jacinda Ardern headline the list of prominent candidates.

Also running or discussed are Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés, Vuk Jeremić, Mia Mottley, Michelle Bachelet, Colombe Cahen‑Salvador, Rafael Grossi, Alicia Bárcena, Kristalina Georgieva, Amina Mohammed, and Achim Steiner.

Security Council straw polls, a P5 veto, and the informal consensus process determine which candidate reaches a General Assembly endorsement.

Member states' priorities on UN reform, climate, peace operations, regional balance, and a candidate's multilateral track record shift support quickly.

Watch for formal Security Council straw-poll rounds and any explicit P5 statements of support or opposition in the months before the vote.

Also track candidate travel, endorsements from key regional blocs, high‑profile speeches, UN General Assembly scheduling, and any surprise withdrawals or late compromises.

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