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Next Senator from South Carolina?
9 outcomes
What's at stake

Control of a Senate seat will determine South Carolina's representation in Washington and affect the Senate's partisan arithmetic.

The office influences federal judicial confirmations, defense and trade funding, and the state's clout over federal projects and disaster relief.

Who's in play

Pamela Evette, Nancy Mace, Russell Fry, Mark Lynch, Nikki Haley, Ralph Norman, Darline Graham Nordone, Scott Bessent, and Trey Gowdy.

They include a former governor, current and former House members, the lieutenant governor, a financier, state legislators, and political newcomers with varied establishment backing.

What drives it

Endorsements from national and state figures, major donors, and party organizations reshape candidate viability quickly.

Polling, fundraising, turnout rules, debate performances, and any legal or personal controversies move probabilities; a runoff mechanism magnifies the importance of mobilizing core voters.

What to watch

Primary and any runoff dates, filing deadlines, and candidate filing lists define the immediate calendar and who appears on ballots.

Track weekly fundraising reports, statewide polls, major endorsements, debate schedules, local newspaper endorsements, and sudden withdrawals or legal developments that can reshape the race before ballots are cast.

Polymarket
Kalshi
Pamela Evette36%David Wilkins20%Joe Wilson1.1%None Before Midterm Election2.3%
$30.4K Vol.Jul 13, 2026
Polymarket
Kalshi
Predicta
Promo Code:
$30,449 Vol.Jul 13, 2026
Darline Graham Nordone$4,650 Vol.
100%
Buy Yes100¢Buy No0.4¢
Trey Gowdy $222 Vol.
45%
Buy Yes45¢Buy No55¢
Pamela Evette$14,765 Vol.
12%
Buy Yes12¢Buy No88¢
David Wilkins$511 Vol.
10%
Buy Yes10¢Buy No90¢
Joe Wilson$639 Vol.
6%
Buy Yes6¢Buy No95¢
None Before Midterm Election$1,076 Vol.
4%
Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢
Alan Wilson$186 Vol.
4%
Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢
André Bauer$186 Vol.
4%
Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢
Mick Mulvaney$186 Vol.
4%
Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢
Paul Dans$186 Vol.
3%
Buy Yes3¢Buy No97¢
Ralph Norman$1,599 Vol.
3%
Buy Yes3¢Buy No97¢
Russell Fry$2,541 Vol.
3%
Buy Yes3¢Buy No97¢
Scott Bessent$356 Vol.
2%
Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢
Bob Peeler$186 Vol.
2%
Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢
Sheri Biggs$186 Vol.
2%
Buy Yes2¢Buy No99¢
Mark Lynch$196 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢
William Timmons$56 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes0.9¢Buy No99¢
Nancy Mace$2,718 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes0.4¢Buy No100¢