A win decides which candidate will occupy the single contested office in this head‑to‑head matchup.

The successful candidate gains the authority, visibility, and agenda‑setting power attached to that seat, and the result can shift policy direction or the balance of votes in the governing body.

James McCabe and Duncan Chan are the only named contenders on the ballot.

Each candidate’s campaign team, endorsers, local party organizations, and volunteer base will determine outreach, turnout, and the durability of late returns.

Local issues, candidate messaging, and voter turnout patterns move probabilities most directly.

Fundraising, endorsements, precinct‑level mobilization, debate performance, and late mail or provisional ballots can change the outcome in narrow contests.

Watch for early‑voting totals, campaign mailings, and any high‑profile endorsements in the days before election day.

Also track Election Day turnout by precinct, the timing of ballot count reporting, and any post‑election challenges or certification deadlines.