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Fed decision in January?

6 outcomes
Total Volume
$7.70MKalshi
$191.85MPolymarket
24h Volume
$737.6KKalshi
$21.40MPolymarket
Liquidity
$15.88MKalshi
$11.74MPolymarket

Event Dominance Index

A composite score measuring market action on Kalshi versus Polymarket. The index combines 24h volume share, liquidity share, and liquidity turnover.
K+50K+40K+30K+20K+10EvenP+10P+20P+30P+40P+50
Kalshi

+33

Kalshi Heavy
INDEX COMPONENTS
Kalshi
Polymarket
24h Volume (55%)
3%
97%
Liquidity (25%)
57%
43%
Turnover (20%)
2%
98%
Outcome
Kalshi / Polymarket / Spread
Kalshi Vol 24h
Polymarket Vol 24h
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 or more basis points after January 2026 meeting
-$0.0065-
-$6.95M
Fed increases interest rates by 25 or more basis points after January 2026 meeting
$0.0133$0.0035$0.0098
$8.3K$11.07M
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting
$0.7267$0.9250$0.1983
$320.0K$1.63M
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 basis points after January 2026 meeting
$0.2167$0.0750$0.1417
$301.3K$1.75M
Fed decreases interest rates by more than 25 basis points after January 2026 meeting
$0.0333--
$105.4K-
Fed increases interest rates by more than 25 basis points after January 2026 meeting
$0.0033--
$2.6K-