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Home›Elections›Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Elections
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Plus500
Kalshi
Polymarket
Foregate
North Carolina98%Texas98%Ohio98%Florida98%
$2.4M Vol.Oct 14, 2026
Plus500
Kalshi
Polymarket
Foregate
$2,364,859 Vol.Oct 16, 2026
North Carolina$23,594 Vol.
98%
Buy Yes98¢Buy No2¢
Texas$80,290 Vol.
98%
Buy Yes98¢Buy No2¢
Ohio$33,776 Vol.
98%
Buy Yes98¢Buy No2¢
Florida$76,925 Vol.
98%
Buy Yes98¢Buy No2¢
Louisiana$133,419 Vol.
98%
Buy Yes98¢Buy No2¢
Tennessee$5,087 Vol.
98%
Buy Yes98¢Buy No2¢
California$209,116 Vol.
97%
Buy Yes97¢Buy No3¢
Wisconsin$24,801 Vol.
4%
Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢
Arizona$1,770 Vol.
4%
Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢
Illinois$32,298 Vol.
3%
Buy Yes3¢Buy No97¢
Utah$108,635 Vol.
3%
Buy Yes3¢Buy No97¢
Alabama$106,136 Vol.
3%
Buy Yes3¢Buy No97¢
Kansas$27,932 Vol.
2%
Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢
Virginia$623,395 Vol.
2%
Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢
Missouri$320,429 Vol.
2%
Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢
Washington$9,127 Vol.
2%
Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢
New Jersey$3,551 Vol.
2%
Buy Yes2¢Buy No98¢
Nebraska$10,859 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢
Minnesota$6,544 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢
Georgia$59,309 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢
Mississippi$17,749 Vol.
1%
Buy Yes1¢Buy No99¢
South Carolina$164,607 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes0.0¢Buy No100¢
Indiana$85,416 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes0.0¢Buy No100¢
Maryland$78,825 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes0.0¢Buy No100¢
New York$121,264 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes0.0¢Buy No100¢

Adopting new district lines before the midterms determines which congressional and state legislative boundaries voters use on the upcoming ballots.

That choice alters candidate matchups, incumbents’ prospects, and the partisan balance of seats reported on election night.

State legislatures, governors, and state supreme courts drive most redistricting outcomes.

Citizen commissions, Republican and Democratic parties, prominent plaintiffs and advocacy groups, and federal judges also shape whether a new map is enacted before ballots are finalized.

Court schedules and litigation timetables are the primary levers: pending lawsuits can block, accelerate, or force court-drawn maps.

Legislative calendar pressures, governor vetoes, settlement talks, and candidate filing deadlines interact with partisan incentives to either settle new lines or leave current maps in place.

Look for court oral arguments, state supreme court rulings, and special-master map submissions that indicate judicial timelines.

Also track legislatures’ scheduled votes, emergency sessions, veto or signature actions, settlement filings, injunction requests, and looming candidate‑filing and certification deadlines.

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