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US strikes Iran by...?

20 outcomes
Total Volume
$78.01M
- / $78.01M
24h Volume
$10.26M
- / $10.26M
Liquidity
$2.16M
- / $2.16M
Turnover (24h)
2.38x
- / 4.75x
Prediction Market Dominance Index
K+50K+40K+30K+20K+10EvenP+10P+20P+30P+40P+50
Kalshi

+50

Kalshi Heavy
INDEX COMPONENTS
Kalshi
Polymarket
24h Volume (55%)
0%
100%
Liquidity (25%)
0%
100%
Turnover (20%)
0%
100%
Trends
Not enough data for 6h
Highlights
Both0
K only0
PM only20
Avg Spread0.0%
Most Active (24h)US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026$3.94M
Deepest MarketUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026$454.7K
AI Market Analysis4d ago
Key InsightMarket is paying up for “strike sometime in 2026” while concentrating trading in late-Feb timing, implying timing (not occurrence) is the main battleground.
SummaryPolymarket heavily prices in a US strike on Iran by mid-2026 (63.5% by Mar 31; 67.5% by Jun 30; 75.5% by Dec 31).
Price MovementNo 24h/1w history provided, so no move/momentum can be quantified.
VolumeVery heavy 24h activity led by near-term Feb dates ($3.94M on Feb 20; $2.09M on Feb 28) vs much lighter later contracts (<$0.51M on Mar 31).
PlatformsOnly Polymarket data available (Kalshi N/A), so no cross-platform spread/arbitrage read.
Outcome
K / PM / Spread
Spread
K Vol 24h
PM Vol 24h
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026
-$0.2550-
--$2.09M
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026
-$0.0155-
--$3.94M
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026
-$0.6350-
--$505.6K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026
-$0.6750-
--$202.2K
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026
-$0.0550-
--$807.9K
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026
-$0.0950-
--$833.2K
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026
-$0.5450-
--$326.7K
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026
-$0.1150-
--$271.1K
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026
-$0.2150-
--$324.2K
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026
-$0.1800-
--$199.4K
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026
-$0.1250-
--$191.2K
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026
-$0.1550-
--$220.9K
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026
-$0.7550-
--$144.3K
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026
-$0.2850-
--$73.9K
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026
-$0.4450-
--$37.8K
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026
-$0.4250-
--$27.2K
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026
-$0.4100-
--$14.5K
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026
-$0.3150-
--$18.6K
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026
-$0.3500-
--$18.6K
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026
-$0.3900-
--$12.2K
Sort by:
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026
K-
PM26¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$2.09M
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026
K-
PM2¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$3.94M
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026
K-
PM64¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$505.6K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026
K-
PM68¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$202.2K
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026
K-
PM6¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$807.9K
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026
K-
PM10¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$833.2K
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026
K-
PM55¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$326.7K
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026
K-
PM12¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$271.1K
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026
K-
PM22¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$324.2K
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026
K-
PM18¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$199.4K
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026
K-
PM13¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$191.2K
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026
K-
PM16¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$220.9K
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026
K-
PM76¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$144.3K
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026
K-
PM28¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$73.9K
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026
K-
PM45¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$37.8K
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026
K-
PM43¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$27.2K
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026
K-
PM41¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$14.5K
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026
K-
PM32¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$18.6K
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026
K-
PM35¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$18.6K
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026
K-
PM39¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$12.2K