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US government shutdown Saturday?

1 outcome
Total Volume
$157.29M
- / $157.29M
24h Volume
$24.19M
- / $24.19M
Liquidity
$1.03M
- / $1.03M
Turnover (24h)
11.70x
- / 23.40x
Prediction Market Dominance Index
K+50K+40K+30K+20K+10EvenP+10P+20P+30P+40P+50
Kalshi

+50

Kalshi Heavy
INDEX COMPONENTS
Kalshi
Polymarket
24h Volume (55%)
0%
100%
Liquidity (25%)
0%
100%
Turnover (20%)
0%
100%
Trends
Not enough data for 6h
Highlights
Both0
K only0
PM only1
Avg Spread0.0%
Most Active (24h)US government shuts down on Saturday$24.19M
Deepest MarketUS government shuts down on Saturday$1.03M
AI Market Analysis6d ago
Key InsightAt 100%, upside is capped—only trade if you have a concrete reason the shutdown won’t occur (tail-risk reversal).
SummaryMarket is pricing a shutdown on Saturday as essentially certain (100% on Polymarket).
Price MovementStable at ~100% (no historical data to quantify change).
VolumeVery high 24h volume ($24.2M) with deep liquidity ($1.03M) suggests strong consensus/conviction.
PlatformsNo Kalshi price available, so cross-platform spread/arbitrage can’t be assessed.
Outcome
K / PM / Spread
Spread
K Vol 24h
PM Vol 24h
US government shuts down on Saturday
-$0.9995-
--$24.19M
Sort by:
US government shuts down on Saturday
K-
PM100¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$24.19M