Which scoring thresholds the match crosses — whether total goals exceed 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5, whether both teams score, and whether either side wins by two-plus goals.
Those outcomes determine settlements for over/under, BTTS, and spread markets and therefore which bets pay out after the final whistle.
Celta Vigo's attackers, Levante's forwards, both managers, and the starting goalkeepers are the primary actors whose performances create goals or keep clean sheets.
Match officials, bench players, and any late absences or suspensions also matter because substitutions and referee decisions can change scoring dynamics quickly.
Recent form, expected-goals (xG) profiles, and the confirmed starting lineups shift pre-match probabilities for low or high-scoring outcomes.
In play, early goals, red cards, tactical switches, set-piece success, and weather or pitch conditions are the main causal levers that move totals, BTTS, and spread chances.
Starting XIs and any injury/absence news released roughly an hour before kickoff provide the first strong signals for goal expectations.
Monitor the opening 15 minutes for shots, xG accumulation, corners, and early cards. Early substitutions and halftime momentum then indicate whether the match will clear 2.5, 3.5, or wider spread lines.