Total Volume
$93.28M
$973.3K / $92.31M
24h Volume
$1.08M
$760 / $1.08M
Liquidity
$6.18M
$183.7K / $6.00M
Turnover (24h)
0.09x
0.00x / 0.18x
Prediction Market Dominance Index
Kalshi
+49
Kalshi HeavyINDEX COMPONENTS
Kalshi
Polymarket
24h Volume (55%)
0%100%
Liquidity (25%)
3%97%
Turnover (20%)
2%98%
Trends
Not enough data for 6hHighlights
Both20
K only0
PM only0
Avg Spread2.6%
Most Active (24h)$604.6K
Deepest Market$450.4K
Best Spread13.8¢
Buy on PM @ 0.3¢ → Sell on K @ 14.0¢
Markets Agree (<2% spread)17/20
Top Spreads
K↑13.8%
PM↑12.5%
K↑11.5%
AI Market Analysis3d ago
Key InsightBest action is cross-platform arb (buy low/sell high on RM/Barça/Betis), since platforms disagree far more than fundamentals implied.
SummaryMarket is essentially a two-horse race: Barcelona ~52% vs Real Madrid ~45%, with all others priced ~0–1%.
Price MovementNo trend read: historical prices missing; current pricing shows heavy longshot mispricing (e.g., Betis 14% Kalshi vs 0.3% Poly).
Volume24h volume $1.08M (down vs 24h/1w, up vs 48h) is overwhelmingly on Polymarket longshots—especially Athletic Bilbao ($605k).
PlatformsMajor dislocations: Real Madrid 39% Kalshi vs 51.5% Poly (12.5pp) and Barcelona 58% vs 46.5% (11.5pp), plus Betis 14% vs 0.3% (13.8pp) = clear arb/segmented liquidity.
Outcome | K / PM / Spread | Spread | K Vol 24h | PM Vol 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $604.6K | |
| Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $49.9K | |
| Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $6.9K | |
| Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $20.7K | |
| Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $24.5K | |
| Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $21.5K | |
| Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $39.1K | |
| Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.4% | $100 | $62.3K | |
| Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $58.3K | |
| Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $14.7K | |
| Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga | 13.8% | - | $3.3K | |
| Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $4.8K | |
| Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $1.1K | |
| Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $60.4K | |
| Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $3.6K | |
| Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $50.1K | |
| Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga | 0.9% | - | $50.0K | |
| Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga | 11.5% | $204 | $952 | |
| Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga | 1.8% | $308 | $2.0K | |
| Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga | 12.5% | $148 | $1.5K |
Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga+13.8¢
K14¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$3.3K
Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga+12.5¢
K39¢
PM52¢
K 24h$148
PM 24h$1.5K
Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga+11.5¢
K58¢
PM47¢
K 24h$204
PM 24h$952
Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga+1.8¢
K2¢
PM0¢
K 24h$308
PM 24h$2.0K
Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$1.1K
Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$50.1K
Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$50.0K
Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$604.6K
Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$49.9K
Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$6.9K
Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$20.7K
Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$24.5K
Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$21.5K
Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$39.1K
Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$58.3K
Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$14.7K
Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$4.8K
Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$60.4K
Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$3.6K
Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga+0.4¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$100
PM 24h$62.3K