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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

11 outcomes

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?4.9%Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?24%Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?32%Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?46%

$371.9K Vol.

May 1, 2026

Polymarket

Kalshi

Best Spread: Kalshi 16¢

Promo Code:

$371,942 Vol.

May 1, 2026

5.0%$95,349 Vol.

46%

Buy Yes46¢Buy No54¢

6.0%$50,729 Vol.

32%

Buy Yes32¢Buy No69¢

5.5%$183,697 Vol.

24%

Buy Yes24¢Buy No77¢

7.0%$18,502 Vol.

11%

Buy Yes11¢Buy No90¢

10.0%$23,665 Vol.

Buy Yes5¢Buy No95¢

Global Market Stats

Total Volume

$423.4K

24H Volume

$3.1K

Liquidity

$169.9K

Turnover (24H)

$0.08x