A single daytime high on May 6 at Atlanta's official observing station decides which 2°F payout bin wins.
The resolved temperature determines settlement for short-term weather contracts and provides a concrete check on local forecasting accuracy.
The National Weather Service's official station at Hartsfield–Jackson provides the maximum temperature used for resolution.
Nearby automated sensors, airport operations, and how instruments record brief peaks determine whether a hot spike is captured.
Timing of a front, cloud cover, and how many hours of direct sun dictate the day's peak temperature.
Southerly winds, humidity, any morning showers, and urban-heat effects can nudge the maximum several degrees either way.
Forecast model runs and 48–72 hour ensemble spreads will show which 2°F bands are plausible heading into May 6.
Track METAR hourly temps at KATL, short-term model updates, radar for convection, and morning dewpoints to see if a warm spike arrives.