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February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

6 outcomes

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?58%Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?3.8%Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?14%Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?<1%

$543.3K Vol.

May 1, 2026

Polymarket

Kalshi

Promo Code:

$543,346 Vol.

May 1, 2026

1.15–1.19ºC$89,217 Vol.

58%

Buy Yes58¢Buy No42¢

1.20–1.24ºC$114,338 Vol.

20%

Buy Yes20¢Buy No81¢

1.10–1.14ºC$90,861 Vol.

14%

Buy Yes14¢Buy No86¢

>1.24ºC$128,552 Vol.

5%

Buy Yes5¢Buy No95¢

1.05–1.09ºC$44,724 Vol.

4%

Buy Yes4¢Buy No96¢

<1.05ºC$75,654 Vol.

<1%

Buy Yes0.8¢Buy No99¢