Total Volume
$235.39M
$8.95M / $226.44M
24h Volume
$3.21M
$17.7K / $3.19M
Liquidity
$57.94M
$42.27M / $15.67M
Turnover (24h)
0.10x
0.00x / 0.20x
Prediction Market Dominance Index
Kalshi
+31
Kalshi HeavyINDEX COMPONENTS
Kalshi
Polymarket
24h Volume (55%)
1%99%
Liquidity (25%)
73%27%
Turnover (20%)
0%100%
Trends
Not enough data for 6hHighlights
Both18
K only2
PM only0
Avg Spread3.2%
Most Active (24h)$447.6K
Deepest Market$4.68M
Best Spread22.5¢
Buy on PM @ 57.5¢ → Sell on K @ 80.0¢
Markets Agree (<2% spread)16/18
Top Spreads
K↑22.5%
PM↑22.5%
K↑1.4%
AI Market Analysis3d ago
Key InsightThe actionable edge is cross-platform: sell Arsenal/buy Man City on Kalshi and do the opposite on Polymarket to capture the 22.5pp mispricing.
SummaryMarket is effectively a two-horse race with Arsenal/M. City dominating pricing but wildly disagreeing across platforms.
Price MovementNo price history provided, so no trend/momentum read; current probs: Arsenal 68.8% avg vs Man City 27.3% avg.
Volume24h volume $3.21M (down from $4.22M) with liquidity steady ~$57.9M; Polymarket drives most per-outcome flow.
PlatformsMassive 22.5pp spread: Kalshi has Arsenal 80% vs Polymarket 57.5% (and Man City 16% vs 38.5%), a clear >5% arb/pricing gap.
Outcome | K / PM / Spread | Spread | K Vol 24h | PM Vol 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $180.9K | |
| Tottenham wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $1.1K | |
| Everton wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $206.4K | |
| West Ham wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $3.2K | |
| Aston Villa wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 1.4% | $1.7K | $174.5K | |
| Brighton wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $224.3K | |
| Brentford wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $163.6K | |
| Nottingham Forest wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $157.1K | |
| Manchester United wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.1% | $1.7K | $167.9K | |
| Crystal Palace wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $131.8K | |
| Fulham wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.8% | - | $189.5K | |
| Bournemouth wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $184.5K | |
| Sunderland wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | - | $195.1K | |
| Newcastle wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.9% | $46 | $120.9K | |
| Liverpool wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.8% | $6.3K | $427.0K | |
| Arsenal wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 22.5% | $2.3K | $120.1K | |
| Manchester City wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 22.5% | $4.7K | $442.9K | |
| Chelsea wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | 0.8% | $935 | $99.3K | |
| Burnley wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | - | - | - | |
| Wolves wins the 2025–26 English Premier League | - | - | - |
Arsenal wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+22.5¢
K80¢
PM57¢
K 24h$2.3K
PM 24h$120.1K
Manchester City wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+22.5¢
K16¢
PM39¢
K 24h$4.7K
PM 24h$442.9K
Aston Villa wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+1.4¢
K3¢
PM2¢
K 24h$1.7K
PM 24h$174.5K
Tottenham wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$1.1K
West Ham wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$3.2K
Leeds wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$180.9K
Everton wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$206.4K
Brighton wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$224.3K
Brentford wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$163.6K
Nottingham Forest wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$157.1K
Crystal Palace wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$131.8K
Bournemouth wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$184.5K
Sunderland wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$195.1K
Newcastle wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.9¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h$46
PM 24h$120.9K
Fulham wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.8¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h-
PM 24h$189.5K
Liverpool wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.8¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h$6.3K
PM 24h$427.0K
Chelsea wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.8¢
K1¢
PM0¢
K 24h$935
PM 24h$99.3K
Manchester United wins the 2025–26 English Premier League+0.1¢
K1¢
PM1¢
K 24h$1.7K
PM 24h$167.9K
Burnley wins the 2025–26 English Premier League
K1¢
PM-
K 24h-
PM 24h-
Wolves wins the 2025–26 English Premier League
K1¢
PM-
K 24h-
PM 24h-